Nikkei Jump Spurs Yen Selling; Direction Awaited
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Nikkei Jump Spurs Yen Selling; Direction Awaited
TOKYO (Reuters) - Japanese stocks strengthened as Asian shares edged
higher on Tuesday, although investors were still awaiting direction from
U.S. and U.K. markets when they resume trade after holidays on Monday,
following last week's turbulence.
The Nikkei stock average jumped
1.4 percent, swinging from a 1.4 percent drop at the open which came on
top of Monday's 3.2 percent tumble. The Nikkei average dropped 7.3
percent on Thursday, its largest single-day loss since the March 2011
earthquake and tsunami.
"The Nikkei is currently at fair value
and it is not expensive compared to U.S. stocks in terms of
price/earnings ratio, so the recent volatility and declines actually
created a dip-buying chance," said Tetsuro Ii, chief executive of Commons Asset Management.
Firmer
Japanese shares spurred yen selling, easing investor concerns about
having to unwind their yen-selling positions to cover losses.
"Nikkei's
trading range is narrowing down day by day. This is not like a panic we
saw after the Lehman shock. If volatility is steadying at the current
level, then the dollar/yen is likely to head higher," said Kyosuke Suzuki, director of FX at Societe Generale in Tokyo.
The
dollar climbed 0.9 percent against the yen to 101.86 after falling to a
two-week low of 100.66 yen on Friday, having hit a 4-1/2 year peak of
103.74 yen only a few days earlier on May 22.
MSCI's broadest
index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was up 0.2 percent at 468.44,
holding above Friday's five-week low of 464.99.
Australian
shares and South Korean shares each rose 0.4 percent. Hong Kong shares
were up 0.1 percent while Shanghai shares <.SSEC> inched up 0.2
percent.
With few offshore leads, Australian investors continued
to favor the yield play from strong dividends despite the recent
sell-off, said Andrew Quin, research strategy coordinator at Patersons
Securities in Perth.
"With foreign investors selling out because
of Australian dollar risk, it's creating an opportunity for Australian
investors to pick up good and top-level yielding companies again," Quin
said.
Equity, bond and currency markets were vexed last week by
talk the U.S. Federal Reserve could scale back its super-loose monetary
policy, kept in place for the past five years and underpinning global
financial markets, sooner than had been expected.
"It is natural
for markets to react to suggestions that there may be a change in the
Fed's policy stance which had defined a trend in markets for the last
five years, and try to assess the magnitude of the impact if the change
really takes place," said Yuji Saito, director of foreign exchange at Credit Agricole in Tokyo.
Saito
added that seasonal factors such as hedge funds closing their books in
May and June have also exaggerated corrective moves as they hastened to
adjust their positions.
"Markets are now seeking levels to
stabilize, but players are likely to wait for cues from U.S. markets
when they resume trade after Monday's holiday," he said.
Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke
said last week that a decision to scale back the $85 billion in bonds
the Fed buys each month could be taken at one of the central bank's
"next few meetings" if the economy looked set to maintain momentum.
Yuuki Sakurai, president of Fukoku Capital Management Inc
in Tokyo, said Bernanke was simply stating the obvious and didn't
signal an imminent end to the Fed's excessively accommodative stance.
"Bernanke's
comments put a counter-balancing 'pessimism' to overly optimistic
markets, while Japanese equities have come to terms with the real
economy which is still fragile," he said.
Commodities were
pressured by an uncertain demand outlook after data last week showed
China's factory activity declined in May for the first time in seven
months and U.S. manufacturing grew at its slowest pace since October.
The dollar's strength also weighed on dollar-based commodities as the
rising dollar makes them more expensive for non-dollar holders.
U.S. crude futures shed 0.6 percent to $93.61 a barrel and Brent eased 0.1 percent to $102.50.
"Oil
demand from China could be depressed as China's PMI contracted for the
first time in seven months and we are unlikely to see any aggressive
stimulus from policymakers in the short-term," said Chen Hoay Lee, an
investment analyst at Phillip Futures in Singapore. - Reuters
higher on Tuesday, although investors were still awaiting direction from
U.S. and U.K. markets when they resume trade after holidays on Monday,
following last week's turbulence.
The Nikkei stock average jumped
1.4 percent, swinging from a 1.4 percent drop at the open which came on
top of Monday's 3.2 percent tumble. The Nikkei average dropped 7.3
percent on Thursday, its largest single-day loss since the March 2011
earthquake and tsunami.
"The Nikkei is currently at fair value
and it is not expensive compared to U.S. stocks in terms of
price/earnings ratio, so the recent volatility and declines actually
created a dip-buying chance," said Tetsuro Ii, chief executive of Commons Asset Management.
Firmer
Japanese shares spurred yen selling, easing investor concerns about
having to unwind their yen-selling positions to cover losses.
"Nikkei's
trading range is narrowing down day by day. This is not like a panic we
saw after the Lehman shock. If volatility is steadying at the current
level, then the dollar/yen is likely to head higher," said Kyosuke Suzuki, director of FX at Societe Generale in Tokyo.
The
dollar climbed 0.9 percent against the yen to 101.86 after falling to a
two-week low of 100.66 yen on Friday, having hit a 4-1/2 year peak of
103.74 yen only a few days earlier on May 22.
MSCI's broadest
index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was up 0.2 percent at 468.44,
holding above Friday's five-week low of 464.99.
Australian
shares and South Korean shares each rose 0.4 percent. Hong Kong shares
were up 0.1 percent while Shanghai shares <.SSEC> inched up 0.2
percent.
With few offshore leads, Australian investors continued
to favor the yield play from strong dividends despite the recent
sell-off, said Andrew Quin, research strategy coordinator at Patersons
Securities in Perth.
"With foreign investors selling out because
of Australian dollar risk, it's creating an opportunity for Australian
investors to pick up good and top-level yielding companies again," Quin
said.
Equity, bond and currency markets were vexed last week by
talk the U.S. Federal Reserve could scale back its super-loose monetary
policy, kept in place for the past five years and underpinning global
financial markets, sooner than had been expected.
"It is natural
for markets to react to suggestions that there may be a change in the
Fed's policy stance which had defined a trend in markets for the last
five years, and try to assess the magnitude of the impact if the change
really takes place," said Yuji Saito, director of foreign exchange at Credit Agricole in Tokyo.
Saito
added that seasonal factors such as hedge funds closing their books in
May and June have also exaggerated corrective moves as they hastened to
adjust their positions.
"Markets are now seeking levels to
stabilize, but players are likely to wait for cues from U.S. markets
when they resume trade after Monday's holiday," he said.
Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke
said last week that a decision to scale back the $85 billion in bonds
the Fed buys each month could be taken at one of the central bank's
"next few meetings" if the economy looked set to maintain momentum.
Yuuki Sakurai, president of Fukoku Capital Management Inc
in Tokyo, said Bernanke was simply stating the obvious and didn't
signal an imminent end to the Fed's excessively accommodative stance.
"Bernanke's
comments put a counter-balancing 'pessimism' to overly optimistic
markets, while Japanese equities have come to terms with the real
economy which is still fragile," he said.
Commodities were
pressured by an uncertain demand outlook after data last week showed
China's factory activity declined in May for the first time in seven
months and U.S. manufacturing grew at its slowest pace since October.
The dollar's strength also weighed on dollar-based commodities as the
rising dollar makes them more expensive for non-dollar holders.
U.S. crude futures shed 0.6 percent to $93.61 a barrel and Brent eased 0.1 percent to $102.50.
"Oil
demand from China could be depressed as China's PMI contracted for the
first time in seven months and we are unlikely to see any aggressive
stimulus from policymakers in the short-term," said Chen Hoay Lee, an
investment analyst at Phillip Futures in Singapore. - Reuters
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